Key Stat: Real Madrid have won on each of their last four UEFA Super Cup appearances, including twice in the last two seasons.
Expert Verdict: Madrid rivals Real and Atletico will kick-off the new season against each other in Tallinn, Estonia, as Julen Lopetegui looks to start his Real Madrid reign with a trophy. Both sides geared up for the match with close to full-strength teams in their most recent friendlies, but it is Real who looked the more impressive – and they are favourites for good reason.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Stats
Real Madrid have won the Madrid derby nearly twice as often as Atletico, recording 109 wins in 219 matches compared to 55 Atletico victories. Both matches last season ended in draws, however – going goalless at the Wanda Metropolitano before Antoine Griezmann cancelled out Cristiano Ronaldo’s strike in a 1-1 at the Bernabeu.
Atletico’s last win against Real came in the Champions League semi-finals in 2016/17, but their 2-1 home win was not enough to progress to the final, having lost 3-0 away from home. They have never previously met in the UEFA Super Cup, however. Here are the results of their last five matches:
Apr 08, 2018: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Nov 18, 2017: Atletico Madrid 0-0 Real Madrid
May 10, 2017: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
May 02, 2017: Real Madrid 3-0 Atletico Madrid
Apr 08, 2017: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Real vs Atletico Betting Tips
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid are both back to full strength after the World Cup, but it is Real Madrid who have more momentum going into the new season thanks to success in pre-season.
Gareth Bale, Karim Benzema and Marco Asensio have all had full pre-seasons and are all in the goals, whereas Atletico only welcomed back Antoine Griezmann and Diego Costa in their most recent friendly.
If it comes down to match sharpness, therefore, Real have the upper hand – and it might well do given three of the last five games between these two have been drawn.
The Madrid Derby is a baptism of fire for Julen Lopetegui but it is also a chance to start his reign with a trophy – and Real have won both of the last two UEFA Super Cups on the back of their Champions League successes.
Atletico should not be written off – anything can happen in a final, and anything can happen in a derby game – but it is difficult to look beyond Real Madrid continuing their trophy-laden recent European record.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Recommended bets with odds
Real Madrid are narrow favourites to beat Atletico Madrid, with Bet365 offering 6/4 on the European champions and 2/1 on the Europa League winners. Real are 3/4 to lift the trophy, meanwhile, however they achieve that.
Both teams to score has been set at 4/5 in what should be a close game, but you can get a generous 23/20 on there being over 2.5 goals in the game with 888sport – considering Gareth Bale and Karim Benzema are in good form, that is a tempting price. A Real win and BTTS is 9/2 with Bet365.
On the topic of Bale and Benzema, the Welshman is 11/5 to score at any time with 888sport, while Benzema can be backed at 29/10.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Prediction
Real Madrid have been in good form in pre-season, and Gareth Bale and Karim Benzema look fit and sharp. If Atletico can not contain those two, and Marco Asensio, then the European champions can make it three consecutive UEFA Super Cup triumphs.